Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.037150 0.040395 0.043658 0.047177 0.050861 0.054597 0.058666
2025-11-30 0.032747 0.037626 0.042684 0.048297 0.054329 0.060594 0.067573
2025-12-07 0.029109 0.035168 0.041626 0.048967 0.057030 0.065570 0.075252
2025-12-14 0.025865 0.032771 0.040322 0.049094 0.058915 0.069489 0.081654
2025-12-21 0.023863 0.031533 0.040106 0.050250 0.061788 0.074375 0.089026
2025-12-28 0.021046 0.029110 0.038340 0.049473 0.062338 0.076561 0.093302
2026-01-04 0.019181 0.027651 0.037552 0.049693 0.063913 0.079808 0.098691
2026-01-11 0.017813 0.026676 0.037238 0.050379 0.065953 0.083526 0.104567
2026-01-18 0.016582 0.025773 0.036930 0.051003 0.067865 0.087054 0.110194
2026-01-25 0.014373 0.023474 0.034791 0.049321 0.066968 0.087263 0.111950
2026-02-01 0.012926 0.022066 0.033675 0.048806 0.067394 0.088960 0.115378
2026-02-08 0.011756 0.020948 0.032860 0.048605 0.068150 0.091007 0.119183
2026-02-15 0.011293 0.020796 0.033301 0.050002 0.070893 0.095465 0.125891
2026-02-22 0.010740 0.020481 0.033507 0.051090 0.073257 0.099480 0.132098
2026-03-01 0.010069 0.019951 0.033395 0.051749 0.075079 0.102842 0.137537
2026-03-08 0.009256 0.019156 0.032886 0.051865 0.076202 0.105349 0.141955
2026-03-15 0.008878 0.018986 0.033211 0.053053 0.078658 0.109465 0.148294
2026-03-22 0.007875 0.017781 0.032051 0.052247 0.078570 0.110467 0.150889
2026-03-29 0.007276 0.017170 0.031689 0.052472 0.079768 0.113025 0.155344
2026-04-05 0.006867 0.016836 0.031701 0.053180 0.081572 0.116317 0.160679
2026-04-12 0.006468 0.016490 0.031676 0.053824 0.083284 0.119493 0.165875
2026-04-19 0.005464 0.015019 0.029942 0.052086 0.081875 0.118775 0.166316
2026-04-26 0.004853 0.014184 0.029109 0.051554 0.082008 0.119952 0.169050